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Creators/Authors contains: "Green, Brian"

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  1. Abstract We present estimates of gravity wave momentum fluxes calculated from Project Loon superpressure balloon data collected between 2013 and 2021. In total, we analyzed more than 5,000 days of data from balloon flights in the lower stratosphere, flights often over regions or during times of the year without any previous in‐situ observations of gravity waves. Maps of mean momentum fluxes show significant regional variability; we analyze that variability using the statistics of the momentum flux probability distributions for six regions: the Southern Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and the tropical and extratropical Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The probability distributions are all approximately log‐normal, and using their geometric means and geometric standard deviations we statistically explain the sign and magnitude of regional mean and 99th percentile zonal momentum fluxes and regional momentum flux intermittencies. We study the dependence of the zonal momentum flux on the background zonal wind and argue that the increase of the momentum flux with the wind speed over the Southern Ocean is likely due to a varying combination of both wave sources and filtering. Finally, we show that as the magnitude of the momentum flux increases, the fractional contributions by high‐frequency waves increases, waves which need to be parameterized in large‐scale models of the atmosphere. In particular, the near‐universality of the log‐normal momentum flux probability distribution, and the relation of its statistical moments to the mean momentum flux and intermittency, offer useful checks when evaluating parameterized or resolved gravity waves in models. 
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  2. Abstract The climate model hierarchy encompasses models of varying complexity along different axes, ranging from idealized models that elegantly describe isolated mechanisms to fully coupled Earth system models that aspire to provide useable climate projections. Based on the second Model Hierarchies Workshop, which took place in 2022, we present perspectives on how this field has evolved since the first Model Hierarchies Workshop in 2016. In this period, we have witnessed a dramatic increase in the use of (a) machine learning in climate modeling and (b) climate models to estimate risks and influence decision making under climate change. Here, we discuss the implications of these growing areas of research and how we expect them to become integrated into the model hierarchies framework. 
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